Correlation Coefficient
Describing a scatterplot as strong positive or weak negative is a judgment call. The correlation coefficient, written , turns that judgment into a number. It is always between and , and it packs two pieces of information into one value: direction and strength.
The sign of gives the direction — positive means a positive association, negative means a negative one. The size of (how far it is from zero) gives the strength: values near or mean the points hug a line tightly, and values near mean barely any linear pattern at all.
Reading r in two steps
Step 1: read the sign. If , the points trend upward; if , they trend downward. The sign says nothing about strength — is a very strong relationship even though the number is negative.
Step 2: read the distance from zero. As a rough guide, near (say or above) is strong, around is moderate, and near (say below ) is weak. So is strong positive, is weak negative, and means no linear relationship at all.
The scale below runs from to . The sign places you on the left (negative) or right (positive) half, and the distance from the center shows the strength — the color fades toward gray near where the relationship is weakest.
The endpoints: r = 1, r = -1, and r = 0
means every point lies exactly on a line with positive slope — a perfect positive relationship. is the same but sloping downward. Real data almost never hits these perfectly; they are the ends of the scale.
means no linear pattern. Careful: it does not mean no pattern at all. Points on a perfect U-shaped curve can have near , because only measures how well a straight line fits.
Comparing strengths
To decide which of several -values is strongest, compare absolute values — the distances from zero. Between and , the second is stronger, because is closer to than . Ignore the sign while comparing strength; bring it back when you state the direction.
Worked examples
Example 1: describe a positive r
A data set comparing hours of practice and quiz scores has . Describe the correlation.
Answer: Strong positive correlation
Example 2: describe a negative r near zero
A data set has . Describe the correlation.
Answer: Weak negative correlation
Example 3: pick the strongest
Which shows the strongest correlation: , , or ?
Answer: — strength comes from distance to or , not the sign.
Try one yourself
Common questions
Can r be bigger than 1 or smaller than -1?
No. By definition always lands between and . If a calculation gives you , something went wrong — recheck the work.
Is r = -0.9 weaker than r = 0.7?
No — it's stronger. Strength is measured by absolute value, and beats . The negative sign only tells you the direction of the trend, not how tight it is.
Does r = 0 mean the variables are unrelated?
It means there is no linear relationship. The variables could still be related by a curve — data shaped like a U can have near . Always look at the scatterplot, not just the number.
Does a large r prove that one variable causes the other?
No. Even only proves the variables move together. A lurking variable could drive both — that's the correlation vs. causation lesson. Strength and causation are separate questions.
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