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Correlation Coefficient

Describing a scatterplot as strong positive or weak negative is a judgment call. The correlation coefficient, written rr, turns that judgment into a number. It is always between 1-1 and 11, and it packs two pieces of information into one value: direction and strength.

The sign of rr gives the direction — positive rr means a positive association, negative rr means a negative one. The size of rr (how far it is from zero) gives the strength: values near 11 or 1-1 mean the points hug a line tightly, and values near 00 mean barely any linear pattern at all.

Reading r in two steps

Step 1: read the sign. If r>0r > 0, the points trend upward; if r<0r < 0, they trend downward. The sign says nothing about strength — r=0.9r = -0.9 is a very strong relationship even though the number is negative.

Step 2: read the distance from zero. As a rough guide, r|r| near 11 (say 0.80.8 or above) is strong, around 0.50.5 is moderate, and near 00 (say below 0.30.3) is weak. So r=0.85r = 0.85 is strong positive, r=0.15r = -0.15 is weak negative, and r=0r = 0 means no linear relationship at all.

The scale below runs from 1-1 to 11. The sign places you on the left (negative) or right (positive) half, and the distance from the center 00 shows the strength — the color fades toward gray near 00 where the relationship is weakest.

negativepositive-1-0.500.51r

The endpoints: r = 1, r = -1, and r = 0

r=1r = 1 means every point lies exactly on a line with positive slope — a perfect positive relationship. r=1r = -1 is the same but sloping downward. Real data almost never hits these perfectly; they are the ends of the scale.

r=0r = 0 means no linear pattern. Careful: it does not mean no pattern at all. Points on a perfect U-shaped curve can have rr near 00, because rr only measures how well a straight line fits.

Comparing strengths

To decide which of several rr-values is strongest, compare absolute values — the distances from zero. Between r=0.6r = 0.6 and r=0.8r = -0.8, the second is stronger, because 0.8=0.8|-0.8| = 0.8 is closer to 11 than 0.6=0.6|0.6| = 0.6. Ignore the sign while comparing strength; bring it back when you state the direction.

Worked examples

Example 1: describe a positive r

A data set comparing hours of practice and quiz scores has r=0.92r = 0.92. Describe the correlation.

Read the sign: rr is positive, so the direction is positiver>0r > 0
Read the size: 0.920.92 is close to 11, so the relationship is strongr=0.92|r| = 0.92

Answer: Strong positive correlation

Example 2: describe a negative r near zero

A data set has r=0.25r = -0.25. Describe the correlation.

Read the sign: rr is negative, so the direction is negativer<0r < 0
Read the size: 0.250.25 is close to 00, so the relationship is weakr=0.25|r| = 0.25

Answer: Weak negative correlation

Example 3: pick the strongest

Which shows the strongest correlation: r=0.55r = 0.55, r=0.78r = -0.78, or r=0.32r = 0.32?

Take absolute values to measure strength0.55,  0.78,  0.320.55,\; 0.78,\; 0.32
Find the value closest to 110.780.78
Report the original rr, keeping its signr=0.78r = -0.78

Answer: r=0.78r = -0.78 — strength comes from distance to 11 or 1-1, not the sign.

Try one yourself

Common questions

Can r be bigger than 1 or smaller than -1?

No. By definition rr always lands between 1-1 and 11. If a calculation gives you r=1.3r = 1.3, something went wrong — recheck the work.

Is r = -0.9 weaker than r = 0.7?

No — it's stronger. Strength is measured by absolute value, and 0.9=0.9|-0.9| = 0.9 beats 0.7=0.7|0.7| = 0.7. The negative sign only tells you the direction of the trend, not how tight it is.

Does r = 0 mean the variables are unrelated?

It means there is no linear relationship. The variables could still be related by a curve — data shaped like a U can have rr near 00. Always look at the scatterplot, not just the number.

Does a large r prove that one variable causes the other?

No. Even r=0.99r = 0.99 only proves the variables move together. A lurking variable could drive both — that's the correlation vs. causation lesson. Strength and causation are separate questions.

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